In February 2024, the European Commission presented its assessment for a 2040 climate target for the EU. The Commission recommended reducing the EU’s net greenhouse gas emissions by 90% by 2040 relative to 1990.
The 2040 climate target will reaffirm the EU’s determination to tackle climate change and will shape our path after 2030, to ensure the EU reaches climate neutrality by 2050. The climate neutrality objective is at the heart of the European Green Deal, and is a legally binding objective set out in the European Climate Law.
The EU's 2030 climate target is to reduce net greenhouse gas emissions by at least 55% relative to 1990. The 2040 climate target is our next intermediate step on the path to climate neutrality.
This image is a complex, multi-coloured line graph showcasing the projected trends of various sectors in relation to greenhouse gas emissions. The graph's x-axis represents time, starting from 2015 and ending in 2050, while the y-axis indicates the GHG emissions in metric tons of CO2 equivalent. The sectors included are Industrial removals, Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF), Waste, Agriculture, Buildings, Transport, Industry, Energy Supply, and Net GHG emissions. Each sector is represented by a differently coloured line. The graph displays a significant reduction in GHG emissions across multiple sectors as time progresses, with some sectors even reaching negative emissions. Notably, the 'Industry' line excludes non-BECCS industrial removals, while the 'Energy Supply' line excludes Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and Storage (BECCS). The source of the data for this graph is cited as the Commission impact assessment. Overall, this graph serves as a detailed depiction of the projected trends in greenhouse gas emissions across various industries over a span of 35 years.
Reducing our net emissions by 90% by 2040 will:
- put us on course towards climate neutrality by 2050, building a healthier and safer future for Europeans
- ensure predictability for citizens, businesses and investors, by making sure that resources invested now and in the upcoming decades are compatible with the EU’s pathway to climate neutrality, avoiding wasted investments in the fossil fuel economy
- boost the competitiveness of Europe’s businesses, create stable and future-proof jobs, and enable the EU to lead in developing the clean technology markets of the future
- make Europe more resilient and strengthen its strategic autonomy
The Commission’s proposal follows a public consultation which took place from 31 March to 23 June 2023, in which we invited citizens and stakeholders to share their views on the EU’s climate target for 2040.
The recommended 2040 climate target is based on the Commission’s detailed impact assessment and the advice of the European Scientific Advisory Board on Climate Change.
Next steps
The Communication launches the process of setting the 2040 climate target for the EU. It opens a political debate on the choices for European citizens and governments on the way forward. This will inform the next Commission, which will take office after the 2024 European elections.
The next Commission will make the legislative proposal to include the 2040 target in the European Climate Law and will ensure that the appropriate post-2030 policy framework is in place to deliver the 2040 target in a fair and cost-efficient manner.
- Communication on a 2040 Climate Target
- Impact assessment on a 2040 Climate Target
- Executive Summary of the impact assessment
- Press release on the recommended 2040 Climate Target
- Q&A
- Factsheet
- Factual summary report on the public consultation
- In-depth report on the public consultation
- Supplementary information: data for the graphs presented in the impact assessment
- Technology assumptions used in modelling
- Methodological note on modelling of agriculture non-CO2 emissions